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December 11, 2006

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James Bow

It's theoretically possible, I suppose. I wouldn't predict it at this point, however. I do predict that McGuinty will lose seats, but I don't see him losing his majority. He's broken a few promises, but has generally led this province competently (in my opinion and, in my opinion, in the opinion of most of the electorate). He's not very exciting. He's oatmeal. It's hard to vote for oatmeal, but on the other hand, it's hard to vote against.

On the other side of the aisle, John Tory has proven to be a good leader for the provincial Tories, and stand a good chance of winning it outright in 2011 if they stay the course. I don't think the province is willing to bring them back just yet, however. So, McGuinty loses seats, but not (I think) his majority.

Of course, if McGuinty bleeds a bit more than I expect, then a minority starts to come into play.

DCardno

You can just look back at the reaction in BC a year ago: with both party leaders agreeing to the pay hike package and both caucuses whipped, it still failed when the Dippers (retroactively) withdrew their agreement to Bill 17 after public protest. The government then repealed Bill 17 with Bill 19, placing the blame squarely on Carole James, the Leader of the Opposition. Part of the public reaction was no doubt the speedy passage of Bill 17 - it went from first reading to third reading in one day - but part is just a public distate (or more accurately; heated, vitriolic, vehement hatred) for legislators to be setting their own pay scales.

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